SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Krasnodar win with a probability of 49.25%. A win for Torpedo Moskva had a probability of 25.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Krasnodar win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest Torpedo Moskva win was 0-1 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Krasnodar | Draw | Torpedo Moskva |
49.25% ( -0.17) | 25.08% ( 0.1) | 25.67% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 52.23% ( -0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.51% ( -0.37) | 50.49% ( 0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.58% ( -0.33) | 72.41% ( 0.33) |
| FC Krasnodar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.48% ( -0.22) | 20.52% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.98% ( -0.35) | 53.01% ( 0.35) |
| Torpedo Moskva Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.71% ( -0.15) | 34.29% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.01% ( -0.16) | 70.99% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Krasnodar | Draw | Torpedo Moskva |
| 1-0 @ 11.14% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.45% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 8.82% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.99% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 4.66% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.67% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.98% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.85% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.65% Total : 49.25% | 1-1 @ 11.92% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.03% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.07% | 0-1 @ 7.53% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 6.38% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.03% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.44% ( 0)Other @ 2.21% Total : 25.67% |
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