SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 64.2%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for FC Krasnodar had a probability of 16.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.9%) and 0-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.24%), while for a FC Krasnodar win it was 2-1 (4.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zenit St Petersburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Krasnodar | Draw | Zenit St Petersburg |
16.05% ( -0.34) | 19.75% ( -0.1) | 64.2% ( 0.44) |
| Both teams to score 54.87% ( -0.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.23% ( -0.19) | 39.77% ( 0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.88% ( -0.19) | 62.12% ( 0.19) |
| FC Krasnodar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.15% ( -0.54) | 37.85% ( 0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.38% ( -0.53) | 74.62% ( 0.52) |
| Zenit St Petersburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.29% ( 0.06) | 11.71% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.17% ( 0.14) | 36.83% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Krasnodar | Draw | Zenit St Petersburg |
| 2-1 @ 4.49% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 4.31% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 2.09% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.15% Total : 16.05% | 1-1 @ 9.24% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.81% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 4.43% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.16% Total : 19.75% | 0-2 @ 10.19% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 9.9% ( -0.01)0-1 @ 9.51% ( 0.11)0-3 @ 7.29% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 7.08% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 3.91% ( 0.07)1-4 @ 3.8% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.44% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.84% ( -0.02)0-5 @ 1.68% ( 0.04)1-5 @ 1.63% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.94% Total : 64.2% |
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