SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torpedo Moskva win with a probability of 39.55%. A win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 32.9% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torpedo Moskva win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Nizhny Novgorod win was 0-1 (10.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Torpedo Moskva | Draw | Nizhny Novgorod |
39.55% ( 0.33) | 27.55% ( 0.13) | 32.9% ( -0.46) |
| Both teams to score 48.79% ( -0.5) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.15% ( -0.58) | 56.85% ( 0.58) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.22% ( -0.47) | 77.78% ( 0.47) |
| Torpedo Moskva Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.94% ( -0.09) | 28.06% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.28% ( -0.12) | 63.72% ( 0.12) |
| Nizhny Novgorod Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.81% ( -0.61) | 32.19% ( 0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.33% ( -0.69) | 68.68% ( 0.69) |
| Score Analysis |
| Torpedo Moskva | Draw | Nizhny Novgorod |
| 1-0 @ 11.47% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 8.27% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.29% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 3.5% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.09% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.84% Total : 39.54% | 1-1 @ 13.01% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 9.03% ( 0.2)2-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.55% | 0-1 @ 10.23% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 7.38% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 5.8% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.73% Total : 32.89% |
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