SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Krasnodar win with a probability of 47.46%. A win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 26.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Krasnodar win was 0-1 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (8.88%). The likeliest Nizhny Novgorod win was 1-0 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Krasnodar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nizhny Novgorod | Draw | FC Krasnodar |
26.42% ( 0.16) | 26.13% ( 0.03) | 47.46% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 49.7% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.89% | 54.11% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.47% | 75.53% ( 0) |
| Nizhny Novgorod Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.38% ( 0.13) | 35.62% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.61% ( 0.14) | 72.39% ( -0.13) |
| FC Krasnodar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.2% ( -0.08) | 22.8% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.49% ( -0.12) | 56.51% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nizhny Novgorod | Draw | FC Krasnodar |
| 1-0 @ 8.39% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 6.4% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 4.33% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 2.2% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.63% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.99% Total : 26.42% | 1-1 @ 12.39% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.12% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.73% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.88% Total : 26.12% | 0-1 @ 12% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 9.16% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 8.88% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 4.51% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 4.37% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.33% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.67% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.62% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.91% Total : 47.45% |
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