SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 81.8%. A draw had a probability of 12.5% and a win for Torpedo Moskva had a probability of 5.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.26%) and 1-0 (10.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.93%), while for a Torpedo Moskva win it was 0-1 (2.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spartak Moscow would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Spartak Moscow | Draw | Torpedo Moskva |
| 81.8% | 12.48% ( 0) | 5.73% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 41.35% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.71% ( -0.02) | 36.29% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.59% ( -0.02) | 58.42% ( 0.02) |
| Spartak Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.26% ( -0) | 6.74% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 75.08% ( -0.01) | 24.92% ( 0.01) |
| Torpedo Moskva Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 44.33% ( -0.02) | 55.67% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 11.72% ( -0.01) | 88.28% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Spartak Moscow | Draw | Torpedo Moskva |
| 2-0 @ 13.64% 3-0 @ 12.26% 1-0 @ 10.12% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 8.27% 2-1 @ 7.99% ( -0)3-1 @ 7.19% ( -0)4-1 @ 4.85% ( -0)5-0 @ 4.46% ( -0)5-1 @ 2.61% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.11% ( -0)6-0 @ 2.01% 4-2 @ 1.42% ( -0)6-1 @ 1.18% ( -0)Other @ 3.68% Total : 81.78% | 1-1 @ 5.93% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.75% ( 0)2-2 @ 2.34% ( -0)Other @ 0.46% Total : 12.48% | 0-1 @ 2.2% ( 0) 1-2 @ 1.74% ( -0)Other @ 1.79% Total : 5.73% |
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