SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 82.59%. A draw had a probability of 12.7% and a win for Torpedo Moskva had a probability of 4.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 0-2 with a probability of 16.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (13.67%) and 0-1 (12.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.78%), while for a Torpedo Moskva win it was 1-0 (2.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 16.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Zenit St Petersburg in this match.
| Result | ||
| Torpedo Moskva | Draw | Zenit St Petersburg |
4.73% ( 0.7) | 12.69% ( 0.84) | 82.59% ( -1.53) |
| Both teams to score 33.63% ( 2.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.54% ( -0.25) | 42.46% ( 0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.14% ( -0.25) | 64.86% ( 0.26) |
| Torpedo Moskva Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 36.51% ( 2.7) | 63.5% ( -2.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 7.66% ( 1.17) | 92.34% ( -1.16) |
| Zenit St Petersburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.11% ( -0.4) | 7.89% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 72.08% ( -1.04) | 27.93% ( 1.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Torpedo Moskva | Draw | Zenit St Petersburg |
| 1-0 @ 2.28% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 1.31% ( 0.22)Other @ 1.14% Total : 4.73% | 1-1 @ 5.78% ( 0.48) 0-0 @ 5.01% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 1.67% ( 0.25)Other @ 0.23% Total : 12.69% | 0-2 @ 16.15% ( -0.49) 0-3 @ 13.67% ( -0.71)0-1 @ 12.72% ( -0.12)0-4 @ 8.68% ( -0.64)1-2 @ 7.34% ( 0.47)1-3 @ 6.21% ( 0.28)0-5 @ 4.41% ( -0.42)1-4 @ 3.94% ( 0.1)1-5 @ 2% ( 0.01)0-6 @ 1.87% ( -0.22)2-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.19)Other @ 4.17% Total : 82.58% |
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