SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Akhmat Grozny win with a probability of 60.25%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Torpedo Moskva had a probability of 16.74%.
The most likely scoreline for an Akhmat Grozny win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.89%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for a Torpedo Moskva win it was 0-1 (6.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Akhmat Grozny in this match.
| Result | ||
| Akhmat Grozny | Draw | Torpedo Moskva |
60.25% ( -0.16) | 23.01% ( 0.21) | 16.74% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 45.97% ( -0.67) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.59% ( -0.86) | 52.41% ( 0.86) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.91% ( -0.74) | 74.09% ( 0.74) |
| Akhmat Grozny Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.96% ( -0.36) | 17.04% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.81% ( -0.64) | 47.19% ( 0.64) |
| Torpedo Moskva Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.41% ( -0.56) | 44.59% ( 0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.4% ( -0.46) | 80.61% ( 0.46) |
| Score Analysis |
| Akhmat Grozny | Draw | Torpedo Moskva |
| 1-0 @ 13.44% ( 0.29) 2-0 @ 11.89% ( 0.12)2-1 @ 9.61% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 7.02% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.67% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 3.11% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.51% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.29% ( -0.08)5-0 @ 1.1% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.6% Total : 60.24% | 1-1 @ 10.85% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 7.6% ( 0.26)2-2 @ 3.88% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.67% Total : 23% | 0-1 @ 6.14% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 2.48% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.52% Total : 16.74% |
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