SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 48.15%. A win for Orenburg had a probability of 27.96% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Orenburg win was 2-1 (6.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Orenburg | Draw | CSKA Moscow |
27.96% ( 0.26) | 23.89% ( 0.21) | 48.15% ( -0.46) |
| Both teams to score 58.04% ( -0.5) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.27% ( -0.76) | 43.73% ( 0.75) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.88% ( -0.74) | 66.12% ( 0.74) |
| Orenburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.05% ( -0.2) | 28.95% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.16% ( -0.25) | 64.84% ( 0.25) |
| CSKA Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.7% ( -0.47) | 18.3% ( 0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.62% ( -0.81) | 49.38% ( 0.81) |
| Score Analysis |
| Orenburg | Draw | CSKA Moscow |
| 2-1 @ 6.91% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 6.57% ( 0.18)2-0 @ 4.07% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 2.86% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 1.68% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.44% Total : 27.96% | 1-1 @ 11.15% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 5.87% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 5.3% ( 0.17)3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.89% | 1-2 @ 9.47% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 9% ( 0.16)0-2 @ 7.64% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 5.36% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 4.33% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 3.32% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 2.28% ( -0.08)0-4 @ 1.84% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.51% Total : 48.15% |
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