SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 48.68%. A win for Krylia Sovetov had a probability of 26.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.45%) and 0-2 (8.5%). The likeliest Krylia Sovetov win was 1-0 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zenit St Petersburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Krylia Sovetov | Draw | Zenit St Petersburg |
26.44% ( 0.03) | 24.88% ( 0.01) | 48.68% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 53.54% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.91% ( -0.01) | 49.09% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.84% ( -0.01) | 71.16% ( 0.01) |
| Krylia Sovetov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.09% ( 0.02) | 32.91% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.51% ( 0.02) | 69.48% ( -0.02) |
| Zenit St Petersburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.8% ( -0.02) | 20.19% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.5% ( -0.03) | 52.5% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Krylia Sovetov | Draw | Zenit St Petersburg |
| 1-0 @ 7.39% ( 0) 2-1 @ 6.57% ( 0)2-0 @ 4.1% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.43% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.95% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.52% ( 0)Other @ 2.48% Total : 26.44% | 1-1 @ 11.81% 0-0 @ 6.65% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.25% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.87% | 0-1 @ 10.63% 1-2 @ 9.45% ( -0)0-2 @ 8.5% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 5.04% ( -0)0-3 @ 4.54% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.8% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.02% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.81% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.12% ( -0)Other @ 2.77% Total : 48.68% |
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