SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lokomotiv Moscow win with a probability of 46.72%. A win for Akhmat Grozny had a probability of 27.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotiv Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Akhmat Grozny win was 0-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lokomotiv Moscow | Draw | Akhmat Grozny |
| 46.72% | 25.6% | 27.67% |
| Both teams to score 52.23% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.73% | 51.27% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.9% | 73.1% |
| Lokomotiv Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.06% | 21.94% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.78% | 55.22% |
| Akhmat Grozny Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.91% | 33.09% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.32% | 69.68% |
| Score Analysis |
| Lokomotiv Moscow | Draw | Akhmat Grozny |
| 1-0 @ 11.01% 2-1 @ 9.24% 2-0 @ 8.35% 3-1 @ 4.67% 3-0 @ 4.22% 3-2 @ 2.58% 4-1 @ 1.77% 4-0 @ 1.6% 4-2 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.29% Total : 46.72% | 1-1 @ 12.17% 0-0 @ 7.26% 2-2 @ 5.11% 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.6% | 0-1 @ 8.03% 1-2 @ 6.74% 0-2 @ 4.44% 1-3 @ 2.48% 2-3 @ 1.88% 0-3 @ 1.64% Other @ 2.47% Total : 27.67% |
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