SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lokomotiv Moscow win with a probability of 58.25%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Khimki had a probability of 19.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotiv Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.49%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a Khimki win it was 0-1 (5.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lokomotiv Moscow | Draw | Khimki |
58.25% ( -0.46) | 22.7% ( 0.11) | 19.05% ( 0.36) |
| Both teams to score 51.11% ( 0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.25% ( 0.07) | 47.75% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.06% ( 0.07) | 69.94% ( -0.06) |
| Lokomotiv Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.91% ( -0.13) | 16.09% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.52% ( -0.24) | 45.48% ( 0.24) |
| Khimki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.91% ( 0.44) | 39.09% ( -0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.19% ( 0.41) | 75.81% ( -0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lokomotiv Moscow | Draw | Khimki |
| 1-0 @ 11.49% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 10.49% ( -0.13)2-1 @ 9.86% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.39% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 6.01% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 2.92% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.82% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.74% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.29% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.17% Total : 58.25% | 1-1 @ 10.79% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.29% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.63% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.99% Total : 22.7% | 0-1 @ 5.91% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 5.07% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 2.77% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.26% Total : 19.05% |
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