SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rostov win with a probability of 56.07%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Khimki had a probability of 21.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rostov win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Khimki win it was 1-2 (5.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rostov would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rostov | Draw | Khimki |
56.07% ( -0.02) | 22.48% ( -0.01) | 21.44% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 55.6% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.36% ( 0.07) | 43.64% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.97% ( 0.06) | 66.03% ( -0.06) |
| Rostov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.6% ( 0.02) | 15.39% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.8% ( 0.03) | 44.2% ( -0.03) |
| Khimki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.72% ( 0.06) | 34.28% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.02% ( 0.06) | 70.98% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rostov | Draw | Khimki |
| 2-1 @ 9.89% 1-0 @ 9.87% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 9.24% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 6.17% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.76% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.3% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.89% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.7% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.55% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.08% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.62% Total : 56.07% | 1-1 @ 10.57% 2-2 @ 5.3% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.28% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.48% | 1-2 @ 5.66% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.65% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.02% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.08% ( 0)Other @ 2.12% Total : 21.44% |
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