SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Moscow win with a probability of 55.89%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Khimki had a probability of 21.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.88%) and 0-2 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.77%), while for a Khimki win it was 1-0 (5.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dynamo Moscow would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Khimki | Draw | Dynamo Moscow |
21.31% ( -0.32) | 22.8% ( 0.04) | 55.89% ( 0.29) |
| Both teams to score 54.36% ( -0.59) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.8% ( -0.56) | 45.2% ( 0.56) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.46% ( -0.54) | 67.54% ( 0.54) |
| Khimki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.71% ( -0.63) | 35.29% ( 0.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.95% ( -0.66) | 72.05% ( 0.66) |
| Dynamo Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84% ( -0.09) | 16% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.68% ( -0.18) | 45.32% ( 0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Khimki | Draw | Dynamo Moscow |
| 1-0 @ 5.88% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 5.61% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 3.06% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 1.95% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 1.79% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.95% Total : 21.31% | 1-1 @ 10.77% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.65% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.79% | 0-1 @ 10.34% ( 0.21) 1-2 @ 9.88% ( 0)0-2 @ 9.48% ( 0.16)1-3 @ 6.03% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 5.79% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 3.14% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 2.76% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 2.65% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.44% ( -0.03)1-5 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.38% Total : 55.89% |
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