Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ural Yekaterinburg win with a probability of 43.89%. A win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 29.23% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ural Yekaterinburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.8%) and 0-2 (8.18%). The likeliest Nizhny Novgorod win was 1-0 (9.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.