Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lokomotiv Moscow win with a probability of 42.59%. A win for Ural Yekaterinburg had a probability of 32.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotiv Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Ural Yekaterinburg win was 0-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
