SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rostov win with a probability of 58.38%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Akhmat Grozny had a probability of 18.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rostov win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.88%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for an Akhmat Grozny win it was 0-1 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rostov | Draw | Akhmat Grozny |
58.38% ( 0.02) | 23% ( -0.02) | 18.61% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 49.41% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.36% ( 0.11) | 49.63% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.35% ( 0.1) | 71.65% ( -0.1) |
| Rostov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.29% ( 0.05) | 16.7% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.4% ( 0.08) | 46.59% ( -0.08) |
| Akhmat Grozny Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.32% ( 0.07) | 40.68% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.73% ( 0.06) | 77.27% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rostov | Draw | Akhmat Grozny |
| 1-0 @ 12.16% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 10.88% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.49% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.84% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.9% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.63% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.61% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.04% ( 0)5-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.94% Total : 58.38% | 1-1 @ 10.93% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.8% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.4% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.87% Total : 23% | 0-1 @ 6.11% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 4.92% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.75% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.48% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.32% ( 0)Other @ 2.04% Total : 18.61% |
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