SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Akhmat Grozny | 29 | -2 | 41 |
| 9 | Rostov | 29 | 0 | 38 |
| 10 | Spartak Moscow | 29 | -3 | 38 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Nizhny Novgorod | 29 | -14 | 30 |
| 13 | Khimki | 29 | -14 | 29 |
| 14 | Rubin Kazan | 29 | -21 | 29 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rostov win with a probability of 55.68%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Khimki had a probability of 21.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rostov win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 2-0 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for a Khimki win it was 0-1 (5.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rostov would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rostov | Draw | Khimki |
55.68% ( 0.16) | 22.94% ( -0.07) | 21.38% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 54% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.28% ( 0.17) | 45.72% ( -0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.96% ( 0.16) | 68.04% ( -0.16) |
| Rostov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.74% ( 0.11) | 16.26% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.2% ( 0.21) | 45.79% ( -0.21) |
| Khimki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.49% ( 0.01) | 35.51% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.72% ( 0.01) | 72.27% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rostov | Draw | Khimki |
| 1-0 @ 10.48% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.86% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 9.53% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.97% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 5.77% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.09% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.71% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.62% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.4% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.3% Total : 55.67% | 1-1 @ 10.85% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.77% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 5.11% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.93% | 0-1 @ 5.98% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 5.62% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.1% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.76% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.92% Total : 21.38% |
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