Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rostov win with a probability of 55.68%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Khimki had a probability of 21.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rostov win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 2-0 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for a Khimki win it was 0-1 (5.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rostov would win this match.