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Russian Premier League | Gameweek 4
Aug 7, 2022 at 6pm UK
Rostov Arena

Rostov
2 - 1
Orenburg

Poloz (45+1' pen.), Komlichenko (60' pen.)
Pesyakov (68'), Karpin (70'), Utkin (90+1'), Mironov (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Vorobyev (69' pen.)
Sivakov (2'), Malykh (33'), Pavlovets (34'), Ektov (59')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Rostov and Orenburg.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rostov 1-0 Khimki
Sunday, July 31 at 6pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Spartak Moscow 4-1 Orenburg
Sunday, July 31 at 3.30pm in Russian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rostov win with a probability of 47.6%. A win for Orenburg had a probability of 27.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rostov win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Orenburg win was 0-1 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rostov would win this match.

Result
RostovDrawOrenburg
47.6% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03) 24.49% (0.0070000000000014 0.01) 27.91% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 55.97% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.55% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)46.45% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.27% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)68.73% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Rostov Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.4% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)19.59% (0.016000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.46% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)51.53% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Orenburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.61% (0.0030000000000001 0)30.39% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.41% (0.0039999999999978 0)66.59% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Rostov 47.6%
    Orenburg 27.91%
    Draw 24.49%
RostovDrawOrenburg
1-0 @ 9.71% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-1 @ 9.42% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 7.91% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 5.12% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-0 @ 4.3% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-2 @ 3.05% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 2.09% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.75% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.24% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 47.6%
1-1 @ 11.56% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.96% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-2 @ 5.61% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.21% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.49%
0-1 @ 7.09% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.88% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 4.22% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 2.73% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.23%
0-3 @ 1.68% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 27.91%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Rostov 1-0 Khimki
Sunday, July 31 at 6pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Lokomotiv 2-2 Rostov
Sunday, July 24 at 6pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Dynamo Moscow 1-1 Rostov
Sunday, July 17 at 6pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: CSKA 4-0 Rostov
Saturday, May 21 at 3pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Rostov 2-1 Khimki
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Ufa 0-0 Rostov
Sunday, May 8 at 12pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Spartak Moscow 4-1 Orenburg
Sunday, July 31 at 3.30pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Orenburg 3-0 Ural
Saturday, July 23 at 3.30pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Orenburg 2-4 Krylia Sovetov
Saturday, July 16 at 3.30pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Dynamo Moscow 0-1 Orenburg
Wednesday, July 22 at 5pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Zenit 4-1 Orenburg
Wednesday, July 15 at 6.30pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Orenburg 0-0 Rostov
Sunday, July 12 at 4.30pm in Russian Premier League


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