Russian Premier League | Gameweek 1
Jul 16, 2022 at 3.30pm UK
Stadion Gazovik
Tsypchenko (31' og.), Ayupov (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ezhov (49'), Glushenkov (54', 72'), Yakuba (84')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Orenburg and Krylia Sovetov.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Krylia Sovetov win with a probability of 48.86%. A win for Orenburg had a probability of 26.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Krylia Sovetov win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.51%) and 0-2 (8.27%). The likeliest Orenburg win was 1-0 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Krylia Sovetov would win this match.
| Result |
| Orenburg | Draw | Krylia Sovetov |
26.69% ( -0.01) | 24.46% ( -0.01) | 48.86% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 55.1% ( 0.01) |
| 52.87% ( 0.02) | 47.13% ( -0.01) |
| 30.63% ( 0.02) | 69.37% ( -0.01) |
| 68.32% ( 0) | 31.68% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.91% ( 0) | 68.09% |
| 80.65% ( 0.01) | 19.35% ( -0.01) |
