SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 45.51%. A win for Dynamo Moscow had a probability of 30.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.64%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Dynamo Moscow win was 2-1 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for CSKA Moscow in this match.
| Result | ||
| Dynamo Moscow | Draw | CSKA Moscow |
30.33% ( -0.43) | 24.16% ( -0.02) | 45.51% ( 0.44) |
| Both teams to score 58.73% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.46% ( -0.15) | 43.54% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.07% ( -0.15) | 65.93% ( 0.15) |
| Dynamo Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.78% ( -0.35) | 27.22% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.36% ( -0.46) | 62.64% ( 0.46) |
| CSKA Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.7% ( 0.13) | 19.3% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.95% ( 0.21) | 51.05% ( -0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dynamo Moscow | Draw | CSKA Moscow |
| 2-1 @ 7.32% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 6.84% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 4.45% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 3.17% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 1.93% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.99% Total : 30.33% | 1-1 @ 11.24% 2-2 @ 6.02% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 5.25% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.15% | 1-2 @ 9.25% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 8.64% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 7.11% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 5.07% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 3.9% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 3.3% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.09% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.6% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.36% ( 0)Other @ 3.19% Total : 45.51% |
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