Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 66.36%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Rubin Kazan had a probability of 13.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.42%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.42%), while for a Rubin Kazan win it was 0-1 (4.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spartak Moscow would win this match.