SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Krasnodar win with a probability of 45.48%. A win for Rubin Kazan had a probability of 29.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Krasnodar win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.18%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest Rubin Kazan win was 2-1 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Krasnodar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rubin Kazan | Draw | FC Krasnodar |
29.97% ( -0.37) | 24.55% ( -0) | 45.48% ( 0.37) |
| Both teams to score 57.15% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.48% ( -0.18) | 45.52% ( 0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.15% ( -0.17) | 67.85% ( 0.17) |
| Rubin Kazan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.54% ( -0.34) | 28.46% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.78% ( -0.43) | 64.22% ( 0.43) |
| FC Krasnodar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.88% ( 0.09) | 20.12% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.63% ( 0.14) | 52.37% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rubin Kazan | Draw | FC Krasnodar |
| 2-1 @ 7.25% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 7.19% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4.52% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 3.04% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 1.89% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.68% Total : 29.97% | 1-1 @ 11.53% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.81% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 5.72% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.55% | 1-2 @ 9.25% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 9.18% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 7.36% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 4.95% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 3.94% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 3.11% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.98% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.58% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.25% ( -0)Other @ 2.89% Total : 45.48% |
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