SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 41.47%. A win for FC Krasnodar had a probability of 33.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest FC Krasnodar win was 1-0 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Krasnodar | Draw | Spartak Moscow |
33.14% ( -0.15) | 25.39% ( 0.01) | 41.47% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 55.74% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.02% ( -0.1) | 47.98% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.85% ( -0.09) | 70.15% ( 0.09) |
| FC Krasnodar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.39% ( -0.14) | 27.61% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.86% ( -0.18) | 63.14% ( 0.18) |
| Spartak Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77% ( 0.03) | 23% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.2% ( 0.04) | 56.8% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Krasnodar | Draw | Spartak Moscow |
| 1-0 @ 8.17% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.73% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 5.26% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.32% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.26% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.9% Total : 33.14% | 1-1 @ 12.01% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.35% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.68% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.39% | 0-1 @ 9.33% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 8.83% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.86% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 4.32% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.36% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.78% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.59% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.02% ( -0)Other @ 2.14% Total : 41.47% |
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