Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Krasnodar win with a probability of 53.45%. A win for Rubin Kazan had a probability of 23.34% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Krasnodar win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.79%) and 0-2 (8.86%). The likeliest Rubin Kazan win was 1-0 (6.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for FC Krasnodar in this match.