SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rubin Kazan win with a probability of 39.67%. A win for Orenburg had a probability of 36.9% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rubin Kazan win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.67%) and 2-0 (5.44%). The likeliest Orenburg win was 1-2 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rubin Kazan | Draw | Orenburg |
39.67% ( 0.09) | 23.43% ( -0.06) | 36.9% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 63.61% ( 0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.93% ( 0.3) | 38.08% ( -0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.66% ( 0.32) | 60.34% ( -0.31) |
| Rubin Kazan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.41% ( 0.17) | 19.59% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.48% ( 0.28) | 51.52% ( -0.27) |
| Orenburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.1% ( 0.12) | 20.9% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.39% ( 0.19) | 53.61% ( -0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rubin Kazan | Draw | Orenburg |
| 2-1 @ 8.52% 1-0 @ 6.67% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 5.44% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.63% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.62% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.96% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.89% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.48% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.26% Total : 39.67% | 1-1 @ 10.44% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 6.67% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.09% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.34% Total : 23.43% | 1-2 @ 8.18% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.41% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 5.02% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 4.27% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.48% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.67% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.36% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.88% Total : 36.9% |
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