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Russian Premier League | Gameweek 27
May 13, 2023 at 10am UK
Ekaterinburg Arena

Ural
2 - 1
Orenburg

Yushin (62'), Kaplenko (89' og.)
Goglichidze (21'), Mamin (32'), Beveev (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Obukhov (83')
Pechenin (81'), Gojkovic (90+4')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Ural Yekaterinburg and Orenburg.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nizhny Novgorod 0-0 Ural
Sunday, May 7 at 12pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: CSKA 2-1 Orenburg
Sunday, May 7 at 2.30pm in Russian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ural Yekaterinburg win with a probability of 44.73%. A win for Orenburg had a probability of 30.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ural Yekaterinburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Orenburg win was 0-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ural Yekaterinburg would win this match.

Result
Ural YekaterinburgDrawOrenburg
44.73% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02) 25.11% (0.010000000000002 0.01) 30.16% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 55.39% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.13% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)47.87% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.95% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)70.05% (0.035000000000011 0.04)
Ural Yekaterinburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.58% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)21.42% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.58% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)54.42% (0.041000000000004 0.04)
Orenburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.49% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)29.51% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.47% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)65.53% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Ural Yekaterinburg 44.73%
    Orenburg 30.16%
    Draw 25.11%
Ural YekaterinburgDrawOrenburg
1-0 @ 9.74% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.16% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 7.51%
3-1 @ 4.7% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.86% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.87% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.81% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.49% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.11% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 44.73%
1-1 @ 11.88%
0-0 @ 6.32% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.59% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.11%
0-1 @ 7.71% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.25% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 4.71% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-3 @ 2.95%
2-3 @ 2.27% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 1.92% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 30.16%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Nizhny Novgorod 0-0 Ural
Sunday, May 7 at 12pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Krasnodar 1-1 Ural
Saturday, April 29 at 5pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Ural 1-3 Rostov
Sunday, April 23 at 10am in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Ural 1-2 CSKA
Saturday, April 15 at 2.30pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Akhmat Grozny 2-0 Ural
Saturday, April 8 at 2.30pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Zenit 2-0 Ural
Saturday, April 1 at 5pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: CSKA 2-1 Orenburg
Sunday, May 7 at 2.30pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Orenburg 1-0 Nizhny Novgorod
Sunday, April 30 at 12pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Fakel 1-3 Orenburg
Saturday, April 22 at 2.30pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Orenburg 1-4 Lokomotiv
Sunday, April 16 at 12pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Orenburg 2-2 Rostov
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Krylia Sovetov 1-1 Orenburg
Sunday, April 2 at 12pm in Russian Premier League


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