Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ural Yekaterinburg win with a probability of 44.73%. A win for Orenburg had a probability of 30.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ural Yekaterinburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Orenburg win was 0-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ural Yekaterinburg would win this match.
Result | ||
Ural Yekaterinburg | Draw | Orenburg |
44.73% ( -0.02) | 25.11% ( 0.01) | 30.16% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 55.39% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.13% ( -0.04) | 47.87% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.95% ( -0.03) | 70.05% ( 0.04) |
Ural Yekaterinburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.58% ( -0.02) | 21.42% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.58% ( -0.04) | 54.42% ( 0.04) |
Orenburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.49% ( -0.01) | 29.51% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.47% ( -0.01) | 65.53% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Ural Yekaterinburg | Draw | Orenburg |
1-0 @ 9.74% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.16% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.51% 3-1 @ 4.7% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.86% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.87% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.81% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.49% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 2.5% Total : 44.73% | 1-1 @ 11.88% 0-0 @ 6.32% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.59% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.11% | 0-1 @ 7.71% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.25% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.71% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.95% 2-3 @ 2.27% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.92% ( 0) Other @ 3.35% Total : 30.16% |
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