SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orenburg win with a probability of 40.74%. A win for Dynamo Moscow had a probability of 35.25% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orenburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.51%) and 2-0 (5.97%). The likeliest Dynamo Moscow win was 1-2 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Orenburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Orenburg | Draw | Dynamo Moscow |
40.74% ( -0.6) | 24.01% ( 0.97) | 35.25% ( -0.38) |
| Both teams to score 61.15% ( -3.76) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.83% ( -4.88) | 41.16% ( 4.87) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.44% ( -5.15) | 63.56% ( 5.14) |
| Orenburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.58% ( -2.31) | 20.41% ( 2.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.14% ( -3.81) | 52.85% ( 3.8) |
| Dynamo Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.84% ( -2.43) | 23.15% ( 2.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.97% ( -3.69) | 57.03% ( 3.68) |
| Score Analysis |
| Orenburg | Draw | Dynamo Moscow |
| 2-1 @ 8.73% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 7.51% ( 1.1)2-0 @ 5.97% ( 0.49)3-1 @ 4.62% ( -0.29)3-2 @ 3.38% ( -0.48)3-0 @ 3.16% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.84% ( -0.26)4-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.31)4-0 @ 1.26% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.93% Total : 40.74% | 1-1 @ 10.98% ( 0.89) 2-2 @ 6.39% ( -0.4)0-0 @ 4.73% ( 0.97)3-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.38)Other @ 0.26% Total : 24% | 1-2 @ 8.04% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 6.92% ( 1.01)0-2 @ 5.06% ( 0.41)1-3 @ 3.92% ( -0.25)2-3 @ 3.11% ( -0.45)0-3 @ 2.47% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.43% ( -0.21)2-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.26)0-4 @ 0.9% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.26% Total : 35.25% |
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