SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 71.46%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Orenburg had a probability of 11.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 1-0 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.84%), while for a Orenburg win it was 1-2 (3.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CSKA Moscow would win this match.
| Result | ||
| CSKA Moscow | Draw | Orenburg |
71.46% ( 0.07) | 16.82% ( -0.03) | 11.72% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 53.21% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.04% ( 0.04) | 35.96% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.94% ( 0.05) | 58.06% ( -0.04) |
| CSKA Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.13% ( 0.03) | 8.87% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.63% ( 0.06) | 30.37% ( -0.06) |
| Orenburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.39% ( -0.03) | 41.6% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.91% ( -0.03) | 78.09% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| CSKA Moscow | Draw | Orenburg |
| 2-0 @ 10.82% 2-1 @ 9.5% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 8.94% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 8.74% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 7.67% ( 0)4-0 @ 5.29% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 4.64% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.36% ( -0)5-0 @ 2.57% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 2.25% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.04% ( 0)6-0 @ 1.04% ( 0)5-2 @ 0.99% ( 0)6-1 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 2.7% Total : 71.45% | 1-1 @ 7.84% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.16% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.69% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 16.82% | 1-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 3.24% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.22% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 1.4% Total : 11.72% |
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