Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rubin Kazan win with a probability of 56.61%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Arsenal Tula had a probability of 20.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rubin Kazan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.76%), while for an Arsenal Tula win it was 0-1 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Rubin Kazan in this match.
