Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ural Yekaterinburg win with a probability of 41.05%. A win for Lokomotiv Moscow had a probability of 31.92% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ural Yekaterinburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Lokomotiv Moscow win was 0-1 (9.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Ural Yekaterinburg | Draw | Lokomotiv Moscow |
41.05% ( 0) | 27.04% ( 0) | 31.92% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 50.05% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.88% ( -0) | 55.12% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.63% ( -0) | 76.37% ( 0.01) |
Ural Yekaterinburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.58% ( 0) | 26.42% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.41% ( 0) | 61.59% ( 0) |
Lokomotiv Moscow Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.02% ( -0) | 31.98% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.57% ( -0) | 68.44% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Ural Yekaterinburg | Draw | Lokomotiv Moscow |
1-0 @ 11.24% 2-1 @ 8.53% 2-0 @ 7.48% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.79% 3-0 @ 3.32% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.16% 4-1 @ 1.26% 4-0 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.15% Total : 41.04% | 1-1 @ 12.82% 0-0 @ 8.45% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.86% ( -0) Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.04% | 0-1 @ 9.63% 1-2 @ 7.31% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.49% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.78% 0-3 @ 2.09% 2-3 @ 1.85% Other @ 2.77% Total : 31.92% |
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