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Russian Premier League | Gameweek 11
Oct 7, 2023 at 10am UK
Ekaterinburg Arena
LM

Ural
2 - 2
Lokomotiv

Begic (12'), Bicfalvi (53')
Begic (28'), Schettine (39'), Beveev (90')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Dzyuba (5'), Suleymanov (90+6')
Mitaj (90+7'), Dzyuba (90'), Suleymanov (90')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Ural Yekaterinburg and Lokomotiv Moscow.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rostov 2-2 Ural
Friday, September 29 at 5pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Lokomotiv 1-0 Nizhny Novgorod
Saturday, September 30 at 12.15pm in Russian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ural Yekaterinburg win with a probability of 41.05%. A win for Lokomotiv Moscow had a probability of 31.92% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ural Yekaterinburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Lokomotiv Moscow win was 0-1 (9.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
Ural YekaterinburgDrawLokomotiv Moscow
41.05% (0.0040000000000049 0) 27.04% (0.00099999999999767 0) 31.92% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 50.05% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.88% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)55.12% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.63% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)76.37% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)
Ural Yekaterinburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.58% (0.0019999999999953 0)26.42% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.41% (0.00099999999999767 0)61.59% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Lokomotiv Moscow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)31.98% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.57% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)68.44% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Ural Yekaterinburg 41.04%
    Lokomotiv Moscow 31.92%
    Draw 27.04%
Ural YekaterinburgDrawLokomotiv Moscow
1-0 @ 11.24%
2-1 @ 8.53%
2-0 @ 7.48% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 3.79%
3-0 @ 3.32% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.16%
4-1 @ 1.26%
4-0 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 41.04%
1-1 @ 12.82%
0-0 @ 8.45% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 4.86% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 27.04%
0-1 @ 9.63%
1-2 @ 7.31% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 5.49% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 2.78%
0-3 @ 2.09%
2-3 @ 1.85%
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 31.92%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Rostov 2-2 Ural
Friday, September 29 at 5pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Krasnodar 2-0 Ural
Sunday, September 24 at 5pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Ural 0-0 Fakel
Sunday, September 17 at 12pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Ural 0-1 Akhmat Grozny
Saturday, September 2 at 11am in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Zenit 4-0 Ural
Saturday, August 26 at 1pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Baltika 0-1 Ural
Saturday, August 19 at 3.30pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Lokomotiv 1-0 Nizhny Novgorod
Saturday, September 30 at 12.15pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Zenit 1-2 Lokomotiv
Sunday, September 24 at 2.30pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Lokomotiv 0-2 Orenburg
Sunday, September 17 at 5pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Lokomotiv 3-2 Baltika
Sunday, September 3 at 1.15pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Sochi 0-1 Lokomotiv
Sunday, August 27 at 6pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Krasnodar 1-1 Lokomotiv
Saturday, August 19 at 5.30pm in Russian Premier League


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