SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rostov win with a probability of 45.02%. A win for Ural Yekaterinburg had a probability of 28.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rostov win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest Ural Yekaterinburg win was 0-1 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rostov | Draw | Ural Yekaterinburg |
45.02% ( -0.08) | 26.46% ( 0.02) | 28.51% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 50.18% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.8% ( -0.05) | 54.2% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.39% ( -0.04) | 75.61% ( 0.05) |
| Rostov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.02% ( -0.06) | 23.98% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.77% ( -0.09) | 58.23% ( 0.09) |
| Ural Yekaterinburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.01% ( 0.02) | 33.99% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.33% ( 0.02) | 70.67% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rostov | Draw | Ural Yekaterinburg |
| 1-0 @ 11.63% 2-1 @ 8.97% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.31% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.27% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.96% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.3% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.52% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.65% Total : 45.02% | 1-1 @ 12.56% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.15% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.84% ( -0)Other @ 0.91% Total : 26.46% | 0-1 @ 8.8% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.78% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.75% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.44% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.74% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.31% Total : 28.51% |
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