SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ural Yekaterinburg win with a probability of 55.6%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Sochi had a probability of 20.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ural Yekaterinburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.74%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.51%), while for a Sochi win it was 0-1 (6.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ural Yekaterinburg | Draw | Sochi |
55.6% ( 1.33) | 24.33% ( -0.66) | 20.07% ( -0.68) |
| Both teams to score 47.84% ( 0.9) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.05% ( 1.7) | 52.95% ( -1.71) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.45% ( 1.43) | 74.55% ( -1.43) |
| Ural Yekaterinburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.06% ( 1.18) | 18.94% ( -1.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.55% ( 1.93) | 50.45% ( -1.93) |
| Sochi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.02% ( 0.25) | 40.98% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.46% ( 0.23) | 77.54% ( -0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ural Yekaterinburg | Draw | Sochi |
| 1-0 @ 12.91% ( -0.39) 2-0 @ 10.74% ( 0.08)2-1 @ 9.59% ( 0.14)3-0 @ 5.96% ( 0.26)3-1 @ 5.32% ( 0.27)4-0 @ 2.48% ( 0.19)3-2 @ 2.37% ( 0.13)4-1 @ 2.21% ( 0.19)4-2 @ 0.99% ( 0.09)Other @ 3.02% Total : 55.59% | 1-1 @ 11.51% ( -0.27) 0-0 @ 7.76% ( -0.54)2-2 @ 4.28% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.77% Total : 24.32% | 0-1 @ 6.92% ( -0.43) 1-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 3.09% ( -0.17)1-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.21% Total : 20.07% |
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