Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 79.47%. A draw had a probability of 12.6% and a win for Dynamo Moscow had a probability of 7.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.53%) and 2-1 (8.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.67%), while for a Dynamo Moscow win it was 1-2 (2.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zenit St Petersburg would win this match.
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