SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rostov win with a probability of 51.99%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Fakel had a probability of 23.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rostov win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.4%), while for a Fakel win it was 0-1 (6.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rostov | Draw | Fakel |
51.99% ( -0.04) | 24.05% ( 0.01) | 23.96% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 53.73% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.33% ( -0.03) | 47.66% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.14% ( -0.03) | 69.86% ( 0.03) |
| Rostov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.69% ( -0.03) | 18.31% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.6% ( -0.04) | 49.4% ( 0.04) |
| Fakel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.78% ( -0) | 34.22% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.08% ( -0) | 70.91% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rostov | Draw | Fakel |
| 1-0 @ 10.63% 2-1 @ 9.68% ( -0)2-0 @ 9.03% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.48% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.11% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.94% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.33% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.17% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0)Other @ 3.38% Total : 51.99% | 1-1 @ 11.4% 0-0 @ 6.27% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.19% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.04% | 0-1 @ 6.72% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.12% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.6% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.19% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.86% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.29% ( 0)Other @ 2.19% Total : 23.96% |
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