SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 58.08%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Krylia Sovetov had a probability of 18.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.88%) and 1-2 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%), while for a Krylia Sovetov win it was 1-0 (6.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zenit St Petersburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Krylia Sovetov | Draw | Zenit St Petersburg |
18.76% ( 0.07) | 23.16% ( 0.06) | 58.08% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 49.19% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.94% ( -0.14) | 50.06% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.96% ( -0.12) | 72.03% ( 0.12) |
| Krylia Sovetov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.23% | 40.76% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.65% ( -0) | 77.35% ( 0) |
| Zenit St Petersburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.04% ( -0.09) | 16.96% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.94% ( -0.17) | 47.05% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Krylia Sovetov | Draw | Zenit St Petersburg |
| 1-0 @ 6.2% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 4.94% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 2.78% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 1.48% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.31% ( -0)Other @ 2.04% Total : 18.76% | 1-1 @ 11% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.91% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.38% ( -0)Other @ 0.86% Total : 23.15% | 0-1 @ 12.26% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 10.88% ( -0.01)1-2 @ 9.77% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 6.44% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 5.78% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 2.86% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.56% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.87% Total : 58.07% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
