SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 76.1%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for FC Krasnodar had a probability of 9.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.2%) and 2-1 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.54%), while for a FC Krasnodar win it was 1-2 (2.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Zenit St Petersburg | Draw | FC Krasnodar |
76.1% ( 0.44) | 14.38% ( -0.24) | 9.52% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 54.54% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.66% ( 0.56) | 30.34% ( -0.55) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.4% ( 0.67) | 51.6% ( -0.66) |
| Zenit St Petersburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.41% ( 0.21) | 6.59% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 75.49% ( 0.56) | 24.51% ( -0.56) |
| FC Krasnodar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.38% ( 0.02) | 41.62% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.9% ( 0.02) | 78.1% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zenit St Petersburg | Draw | FC Krasnodar |
| 2-0 @ 10.14% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 9.2% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 8.89% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 8.06% ( 0.03)1-0 @ 7.46% ( -0.15)4-0 @ 6.25% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 5.48% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 3.53% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 3.4% ( 0.09)5-1 @ 2.98% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 2.4% ( 0.04)6-0 @ 1.54% ( 0.06)6-1 @ 1.35% ( 0.05)5-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.03)Other @ 4.11% Total : 76.1% | 1-1 @ 6.54% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 3.9% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 2.74% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 14.38% | 1-2 @ 2.87% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 2.4% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.06% Total : 9.52% |
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