SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 67.5%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Al Riyadh had a probability of 13.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.8%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.79%), while for an Al Riyadh win it was 0-1 (3.95%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Ahli would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al-Ahli | Draw | Al Riyadh |
67.5% ( -0) | 18.69% ( 0.02) | 13.8% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 52.84% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.38% ( -0.12) | 39.62% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.03% ( -0.13) | 61.96% ( 0.13) |
| Al-Ahli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.2% ( -0.03) | 10.8% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.17% ( -0.08) | 34.83% ( 0.07) |
| Al Riyadh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.24% ( -0.11) | 40.76% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.65% ( -0.09) | 77.34% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al-Ahli | Draw | Al Riyadh |
| 2-0 @ 10.9% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 9.8% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0)3-0 @ 8.09% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 7.26% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 4.5% 4-1 @ 4.04% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.26% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 2% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.8% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.26% Total : 67.5% | 1-1 @ 8.79% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.4% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 18.69% | 0-1 @ 3.95% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 3.95% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 1.77% 2-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.64% Total : 13.8% |
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