SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 44.02%. A win for Al Ittihad had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Al Ittihad win was 0-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Al-Ahli in this match.
| Result | ||
| Al-Ahli | Draw | Al Ittihad |
44.02% ( 0.5) | 25.25% ( -0.13) | 30.73% ( -0.37) |
| Both teams to score 55.24% ( 0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.8% ( 0.43) | 48.2% ( -0.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.64% ( 0.4) | 70.35% ( -0.39) |
| Al-Ahli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.12% ( 0.42) | 21.88% ( -0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.87% ( 0.63) | 55.13% ( -0.63) |
| Al Ittihad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.71% ( -0.03) | 29.29% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.75% ( -0.04) | 65.25% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al-Ahli | Draw | Al Ittihad |
| 1-0 @ 9.74% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.09% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 7.4% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 4.6% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 3.75% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 2.83% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.75% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 1.42% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.38% Total : 44.02% | 1-1 @ 11.95% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 6.41% ( -0.12)2-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.24% | 0-1 @ 7.87% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 7.34% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 4.83% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.5% Total : 30.73% |
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