SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 57.14%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Al Okhdood had a probability of 21.15%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.02%) and 0-2 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.05%), while for an Al Okhdood win it was 2-1 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Nassr would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al Okhdood | Draw | Al-Nassr |
21.15% ( 0.2) | 21.71% ( -0.01) | 57.14% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 57.82% ( 0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.5% ( 0.33) | 40.49% ( -0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.12% ( 0.34) | 62.87% ( -0.34) |
| Al Okhdood Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.22% ( 0.38) | 32.77% ( -0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.66% ( 0.42) | 69.33% ( -0.42) |
| Al-Nassr Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.01% ( 0.05) | 13.99% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.5% ( 0.11) | 41.5% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Okhdood | Draw | Al-Nassr |
| 2-1 @ 5.61% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 5.11% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 2.85% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.09% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.05% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.38% Total : 21.15% | 1-1 @ 10.05% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.52% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 4.58% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.2% Total : 21.7% | 1-2 @ 9.89% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 9.02% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 8.87% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 6.49% ( 0)0-3 @ 5.82% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 3.62% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 3.19% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 2.86% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.78% ( 0.02)1-5 @ 1.26% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.23% Total : 57.14% |
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