SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 66.73%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Al Khaleej had a probability of 14.89%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.7%) and 0-1 (8.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.41%), while for an Al Khaleej win it was 2-1 (4.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Nassr would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al Khaleej | Draw | Al-Nassr |
14.89% ( -0.12) | 18.37% ( 0.08) | 66.73% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 57.08% ( -0.64) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.45% ( -0.66) | 35.55% ( 0.66) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.39% ( -0.74) | 57.6% ( 0.74) |
| Al Khaleej Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.33% ( -0.58) | 36.66% ( 0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.55% ( -0.59) | 73.45% ( 0.59) |
| Al-Nassr Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.13% ( -0.17) | 9.87% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.28% ( -0.4) | 32.72% ( 0.4) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Khaleej | Draw | Al-Nassr |
| 2-1 @ 4.22% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 3.63% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 1.82% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 1.41% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.19% Total : 14.9% | 1-1 @ 8.41% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 3.62% ( 0.12)3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.2% Total : 18.37% | 1-2 @ 9.74% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 9.7% ( 0.18)0-1 @ 8.38% ( 0.22)1-3 @ 7.52% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 7.49% ( 0.08)1-4 @ 4.35% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 4.34% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.77% ( -0.08)2-4 @ 2.18% ( -0.06)1-5 @ 2.02% ( -0.04)0-5 @ 2.01% ( -0.01)2-5 @ 1.01% ( -0.04)Other @ 4.24% Total : 66.73% |
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