SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 78.23%. A draw had a probability of 13.2% and a win for Al Tai had a probability of 8.62%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.14%) and 2-1 (8.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.83%), while for an Al Tai win it was 1-2 (2.61%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Nassr would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al-Nassr | Draw | Al Tai |
78.23% ( -0.03) | 13.15% ( 0.04) | 8.62% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 55.89% ( -0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 73.04% ( -0.26) | 26.96% ( 0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 52.57% ( -0.34) | 47.43% ( 0.34) |
| Al-Nassr Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.5% ( -0.06) | 5.5% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 78.56% ( -0.17) | 21.45% ( 0.17) |
| Al Tai Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.14% ( -0.23) | 40.86% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.57% ( -0.21) | 77.43% ( 0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al-Nassr | Draw | Al Tai |
| 2-0 @ 9.45% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 9.14% ( 0.05)2-1 @ 8.46% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 8.18% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 6.63% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 6.52% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 5.93% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 3.85% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.66% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 3.44% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.03)6-0 @ 1.86% ( -0.01)6-1 @ 1.66% ( -0.02)5-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.02)Other @ 5.25% Total : 78.23% | 1-1 @ 5.83% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 2.25% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.2% Total : 13.15% | 1-2 @ 2.61% 0-1 @ 2.01% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.87% Total : 8.62% |
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