SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 59.32%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Abha had a probability of 19.45%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.36%) and 0-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.89%), while for an Abha win it was 2-1 (5.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-8 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Nassr would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Abha | Draw | Al-Nassr |
19.45% ( -0.09) | 21.23% ( -0.03) | 59.32% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 56.67% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.29% ( 0.02) | 40.71% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.9% ( 0.02) | 63.1% ( -0.01) |
| Abha Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.43% ( -0.08) | 34.57% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.71% ( -0.09) | 71.29% ( 0.1) |
| Al-Nassr Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.61% ( 0.05) | 13.39% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.68% ( 0.09) | 40.32% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Abha | Draw | Al-Nassr |
| 2-1 @ 5.25% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 4.92% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 2.61% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.86% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.02% Total : 19.45% | 1-1 @ 9.89% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.63% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 21.23% | 1-2 @ 9.94% ( 0) 0-2 @ 9.36% ( 0.02)0-1 @ 9.31% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 6.66% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 6.27% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 3.54% ( -0)1-4 @ 3.35% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 3.15% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.78% ( 0)1-5 @ 1.35% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 1.27% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.36% Total : 59.32% |
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