SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Shabab win with a probability of 49.08%. A win for Al Fateh had a probability of 28.7% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Shabab win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.82%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Al Fateh win was 1-2 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al Shabab would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al Shabab | Draw | Al Fateh |
49.08% ( -0.02) | 22.22% ( -0.05) | 28.7% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 64.65% ( 0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.72% ( 0.29) | 35.28% ( -0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.7% ( 0.32) | 57.3% ( -0.32) |
| Al Shabab Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.22% ( 0.1) | 14.78% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.96% ( 0.19) | 43.05% ( -0.19) |
| Al Fateh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.87% ( 0.19) | 24.13% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.56% ( 0.27) | 58.44% ( -0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Shabab | Draw | Al Fateh |
| 2-1 @ 9.27% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 6.82% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 6.52% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 5.91% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 4.2% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 4.15% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.82% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.01% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.99% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)4-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.37% Total : 49.08% | 1-1 @ 9.7% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.59% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 3.57% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.38% Total : 22.22% | 1-2 @ 6.89% 0-1 @ 5.07% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 3.61% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.27% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.12% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.71% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.77% Total : 28.7% |
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