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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 46.02%. A win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 28.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Hamilton Academical win was 0-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greenock Morton would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
46.02% ( 0.28) | 25.38% ( -0.05) | 28.6% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 53.57% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.18% ( 0.08) | 49.82% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.18% ( 0.07) | 71.82% ( -0.07) |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.35% ( 0.16) | 21.65% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.22% ( 0.25) | 54.78% ( -0.25) |
| Hamilton Academical Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.38% ( -0.13) | 31.63% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.97% ( -0.15) | 68.04% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
| 1-0 @ 10.47% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.23% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 8.02% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 4.71% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 4.09% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.71% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.8% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.56% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.39% Total : 46.01% | 1-1 @ 12.06% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.85% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.31% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.38% | 0-1 @ 7.88% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 6.94% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 4.54% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 2.66% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.8% Total : 28.6% |
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