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Scottish Championship | Gameweek 30
Apr 11, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Cappielow Park, Sinclair Street, Greenock
HL

Morton
2 - 0
Hamilton

Gillespie (54'), King (66')
Muirhead (77'), King (77'), Muirhead (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)

O'Reilly (63')
Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Greenock Morton and Hamilton Academical.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ayr 1-1 Morton
Saturday, April 8 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 46.02%. A win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 28.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Hamilton Academical win was 0-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greenock Morton would win this match.

Result
Greenock MortonDrawHamilton Academical
46.02% (0.284 0.28) 25.38% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05) 28.6% (-0.234 -0.23)
Both teams to score 53.57% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.18% (0.081000000000003 0.08)49.82% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.18% (0.072999999999997 0.07)71.82% (-0.071000000000012 -0.07)
Greenock Morton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.35% (0.164 0.16)21.65% (-0.162 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.22% (0.249 0.25)54.78% (-0.247 -0.25)
Hamilton Academical Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.38% (-0.13 -0.13)31.63% (0.132 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.97% (-0.152 -0.15)68.04% (0.15300000000001 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Greenock Morton 46.01%
    Hamilton Academical 28.6%
    Draw 25.38%
Greenock MortonDrawHamilton Academical
1-0 @ 10.47% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.23% (0.026 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.02% (0.052 0.05)
3-1 @ 4.71% (0.036 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.09% (0.046 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.71% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.8% (0.023 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.56% (0.025 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.04% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 46.01%
1-1 @ 12.06% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.85% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.31% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-3 @ 1.04% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.38%
0-1 @ 7.88% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-2 @ 6.94% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-2 @ 4.54% (-0.048 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.66% (-0.025 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.04% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.74% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 28.6%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Ayr 1-1 Morton
Saturday, April 8 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Morton 1-2 Inverness
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Arbroath 1-1 Morton
Friday, March 17 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Morton 0-0 Partick
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Morton 1-3 Ayr
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Queen's Park 2-2 Morton
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Hamilton 1-1 Cove Rangers
Saturday, April 8 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Raith Rovers 1-2 Hamilton
Tuesday, April 4 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Dundee 7-0 Hamilton
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Raith Rovers 0-1 Hamilton
Sunday, March 26 at 4.15pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Last Game: Hamilton 0-2 Ayr
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Hamilton 0-0 Arbroath
Friday, March 3 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship


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