Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 56.26%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for East Fife had a probability of 19.23%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.2%) and 1-2 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.53%), while for a East Fife win it was 1-0 (7.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Airdrieonians would win this match.
