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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 40.03%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 35.7% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.71%) and 2-0 (5.97%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 1-2 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hamilton Academical | Draw | Ayr United |
40.03% ( -0.53) | 24.27% ( -0.18) | 35.7% ( 0.7) |
| Both teams to score 60.31% ( 0.78) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.7% ( 0.96) | 42.3% ( -0.96) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.29% ( 0.95) | 64.71% ( -0.95) |
| Hamilton Academical Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.77% ( 0.16) | 21.23% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.86% ( 0.25) | 54.14% ( -0.25) |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.57% ( 0.83) | 23.43% ( -0.83) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.57% ( 1.2) | 57.43% ( -1.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hamilton Academical | Draw | Ayr United |
| 2-1 @ 8.67% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 7.71% ( -0.3)2-0 @ 5.97% ( -0.2)3-1 @ 4.48% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.25% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 3.09% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 1.73% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.26% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.2% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.68% Total : 40.03% | 1-1 @ 11.18% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 6.29% ( 0.1)0-0 @ 4.98% ( -0.22)3-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.26% | 1-2 @ 8.12% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 7.22% ( -0.13)0-2 @ 5.24% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.93% ( 0.14)2-3 @ 3.04% ( 0.12)0-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.08)1-4 @ 1.43% ( 0.08)2-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.07)0-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.18% Total : 35.7% |
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