Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 49.98%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 23.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.72%) and 1-2 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.31%), while for an Ayr United win it was 1-0 (8.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
