SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 45%. A win for Cove Rangers had a probability of 31.02% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Cove Rangers win was 2-1 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Greenock Morton in this match.
| Result | ||
| Cove Rangers | Draw | Greenock Morton |
31.02% ( 2.11) | 23.98% ( 0.24) | 45% ( -2.35) |
| Both teams to score 59.72% ( 0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.6% ( 0.06) | 42.4% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.19% ( 0.06) | 64.8% ( -0.06) |
| Cove Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.78% ( 1.42) | 26.22% ( -1.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.68% ( 1.87) | 61.32% ( -1.87) |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.94% ( -0.93) | 19.06% ( 0.93) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.35% ( -1.57) | 50.65% ( 1.56) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cove Rangers | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 2-1 @ 7.42% ( 0.35) 1-0 @ 6.69% ( 0.25)2-0 @ 4.48% ( 0.34)3-1 @ 3.31% ( 0.28)3-2 @ 2.75% ( 0.16)3-0 @ 2% ( 0.22)4-1 @ 1.11% ( 0.13)4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.35% Total : 31.02% | 1-1 @ 11.08% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6.15% ( 0.11)0-0 @ 5% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.98% | 1-2 @ 9.19% ( -0.2) 0-1 @ 8.28% ( -0.27)0-2 @ 6.87% ( -0.44)1-3 @ 5.08% ( -0.27)0-3 @ 3.79% ( -0.37)2-3 @ 3.4% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 2.11% ( -0.18)0-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.2)2-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.3% Total : 45% |
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