SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 52.97%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a Greenock Morton win it was 0-1 (6.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ayr United | Draw | Greenock Morton |
52.97% ( -0) | 24.22% ( 0) | 22.8% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 51.82% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.46% ( -0.01) | 49.53% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.43% ( -0.01) | 71.56% ( 0.01) |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.35% ( -0) | 18.65% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.04% ( -0.01) | 49.96% ( 0.01) |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.7% ( -0) | 36.29% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.92% ( -0) | 73.08% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ayr United | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 1-0 @ 11.36% 2-1 @ 9.67% 2-0 @ 9.54% 3-1 @ 5.42% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.34% 3-2 @ 2.75% 4-1 @ 2.27% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.24% 4-2 @ 1.15% Other @ 3.21% Total : 52.97% | 1-1 @ 11.52% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.77% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.9% 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.22% | 0-1 @ 6.86% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.84% 0-2 @ 3.48% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.97% 2-3 @ 1.66% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 1.83% Total : 22.8% |
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