SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 52.88%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 23.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 2-0 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for a Raith Rovers win it was 0-1 (6.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Greenock Morton in this match.
| Result | ||
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Raith Rovers |
52.88% ( 0.12) | 23.59% ( -0.04) | 23.52% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 54.7% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.85% ( 0.11) | 46.14% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.55% ( 0.1) | 68.44% ( -0.11) |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.58% ( 0.08) | 17.41% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.15% ( 0.15) | 47.85% ( -0.15) |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.23% ( -0.01) | 33.76% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.57% ( -0.01) | 70.42% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Raith Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 10.27% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.98% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.68% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 5.23% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.09% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.48% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.29% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.35% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.75% Total : 52.87% | 1-1 @ 11.15% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.88% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.29% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.12% ( 0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.58% | 0-1 @ 6.38% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.06% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.92% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.26% Total : 23.52% |
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